Saturday, May 2, 2009

will nifty reach the targeted zone ?



i wrote a few days back,that if nifty is unable to close above 3515, it will enter a small range,,the same day nifty made a high around 3500,but soon feeling the pinch of the resistance zone (3512 is 1.618% of the last fall in nifty,before it started this massive rally...see the chart below)

nifty, went down among fears gripping the markets about swine flue,but the very next day ,,opened higher and rallied throughout on the day of settlement.a mini vacation, and we will be seeing the rally to continue, upto atleast 3650-3700 zone as discussed here earlier.

next ??

i have developed a trading system which generates buy-sell calls ,with around 85% of accuracy,a few days back i got a small list of stocks which had given buy calls,but , havent given successfull upmove in the last week,which for me is a warning that the rise in the coming week will not sustain much,,

also,there is one warning signal generated by my favourate indicator setup in hourly charts,,and as i mentioned here a few weeks back,that 3650-3700 zone will not only be the target zone for the current rally but also will be strong resistance area too.

so,in my opinion next weeks rally will be to exit longs...only one event can perhaps take this rally to newer highs above 3700...tht is a inverted h&s breakout in dow.

if that happens dow can be targeted to around 9000 !..so,,be careful around 3700..and better watch dow,in the next week.in that case nifty targets will be revised upto 4140.

double botton in indices in weekly charts.

as i suggested here in my oct-08 16th...article,,rectangle pattern was developed in the daily charts,,and on the weekly charts its actually a big w..a double bottom pattern developed..targetting the same 3700 around levels.and 12300 around in sensex.

7 comments:

Sujatha said...

so u mean to say one rally is there before election result? and
depends upon the world market especially dow?

Stockchart said...

well, yes ,looking at hangseng today morning (8 am),which is up by almost 2.5%,,we are bound to open high,,remember my targetd zone? we will see those levels this week ,hopefully.click some ads dear..and let some of ur friends view my blog too..thanks .if on ym,add bhoom2tika to get few calls on live markets.

Sujatha said...

oops... those levels this week? ofcourse more or less ur target nearing....

i am sitting ideally with crossed fingers since i am a small player, chances r less for me to play... waiting for your 2day's post

Sujatha said...

can u post your ym id pls, is it yahoo.com or yahoo.co.in?

mostly r u posting only weekly analysis? i missed ur short term stocks list...

mostly nowadays opening gap up or gapdown...c 2day, it went upto the 3rd resistance of pivot level @ few mins. of opening and long breakout level of camrilla also.. 2day RSI also high... once it came down,but scary to buy... hence not traded 2day, i burnt my fingers many time...

how to trade and wat method has to follow in these kind of situations...

thanks in advance

Stockchart said...

my ym ic bhoom2tika@yahoo.co.in,i generally write something when charts tell me something.regarding your q abt how to trde in markets like today,i can say that it was clerly a buy at dip like market.i think i wont be able to elaborate tehnicals in detail here,since trading methods differ from person to person also,,but todays was an exceptional move,,if u remember in my second last post i used a word "BURST" so was it today.

rajiv malik said...

thanks bhoom for yur wnderful analysis. though i am on your yahoo id list.....i dont get any live calls from you.

i really appreciate yur views and accuracy.

regards
rajiv malik

Sujatha said...

yeah.. thank u i sent a ym request to u...

agree.. trading methods will differ person to person... ur levels are really good with charts especially..